調(diào)查人員警告說(shuō)，夏季的房地產(chǎn)繁榮可能不會(huì)持續(xù)

調(diào)查人員警告說(shuō)，夏季的房地產(chǎn)繁榮可能不會(huì)持續(xù)

New buyer enquiries are up as a result of the Stamp Duty freeze, but demand is expected to tail off.

由于印花稅凍結(jié)，新的買(mǎi)家詢價(jià)有所上升，但預(yù)計(jì)需求將減少。

Housing market activity picked up in July as the stamp duty cut boosted demand but surveyors are uncertain how long the summer boom will last.

由于印花稅下調(diào)提振了需求，7月份房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)活動(dòng)有所回升，但調(diào)查者不確定夏季的繁榮能持續(xù)多久。

The stamp duty holiday played a significant role in lifting homebuyer demand, according to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) July market report.

根據(jù)皇家特許測(cè)量師學(xué)會(huì)(RICS) 7月市場(chǎng)報(bào)告，印花稅假期在提振購(gòu)房者需求方面發(fā)揮了重要作用。

New buyer enquiries were up on the previous month, rising from a net balance of 61 in June to 75 in July.

新的買(mǎi)家詢盤(pán)數(shù)量較上月有所上升，從6月份的61個(gè)凈差額升至7月份的75個(gè)。

Agreed sales also increased from 43 in June to a net balance of 57 in July.

協(xié)議銷(xiāo)售額也從6月份的43家增加到7月份的57家。

Meanwhile 57% of surveyors said they had seen growth in new valuation instructions, up from 41% in June.

與此同時(shí)，57%的調(diào)查人員表示，他們看到新的估值指令有所增長(zhǎng)，高于6月份的41%。

An increase in house prices was reported by 12% of respondents during July, a notable change from June’s -13%.

有12%的受訪者表示，7月份房?jī)r(jià)上漲，較6月份的-13%有明顯變化。

Over the next 12 months, 8% of respondents expect prices to rise.

8%的受訪者預(yù)計(jì)未來(lái)12個(gè)月房?jī)r(jià)將上漲。

Despite the strength of the summer market, RICS said some surveyors had suggested the housing market would experience a “boom followed by a bust”.

盡管夏季市場(chǎng)表現(xiàn)強(qiáng)勁，但RICS表示，一些測(cè)量師曾暗示，房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)將經(jīng)歷“繁榮之后的蕭條”。

Some 26% of valuers said they expected a growth in sales over the next three months, however, –10% predict sales “tailing off” over the next year once the furlough scheme ends in October and the stamp duty holiday expires in March.

約26%的估價(jià)師表示，他們預(yù)計(jì)未來(lái)三個(gè)月的銷(xiāo)售額會(huì)有增長(zhǎng)，然而，10%的估價(jià)師預(yù)測(cè)，一旦10月份休假計(jì)劃結(jié)束，3月份印花稅假期到期，明年的銷(xiāo)售額將“逐漸減少”。

Simon Rubinsohn, chief economist at RICS, said: “The strong impetus provided to the housing market is evident both in the results of the RICS survey and many of the anecdotal comments from respondents.

RICS首席經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家西蒙•魯賓遜表示:“從RICS的調(diào)查結(jié)果和許多受訪者的坊間評(píng)論中，都可以明顯看出房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)受到的強(qiáng)勁推動(dòng)。”

“However, it is interesting that there remains rather more caution about the medium-term outlook with the macro environment, job losses and the ending or tapering of government support measures for the sector expected to take their toll.”

“然而，有趣的是，由于宏觀環(huán)境、失業(yè)以及政府對(duì)金融業(yè)支持措施的結(jié)束或縮減，人們對(duì)中期前景仍持更為謹(jǐn)慎的態(tài)度，這些預(yù)計(jì)將造成負(fù)面影響。”