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[ti:未知] [ar:] [al:] [by:] [00:02.58]知行英語 [00:07.36]Listen and Share [00:30.03]John Maynard Keynes 凱恩斯傳 [00:47.11]精彩點評 [00:50.30]These technical deficiencies in Skidelsky's academic training [00:54.34]are the main defect, [00:56.67]not only in this book [00:58.43]but in the entire corpus of Skidelsky's writings [01:02.67]on Keynes going back over 30 years. [01:06.17]I will concentrate on Skidelsky's error [01:09.15]filled statements concerning Keynes's [01:12.33]A Treatise on Probability(1921;TP) [01:16.83]and the logical theory of probability. On p.95. [01:22.93]講解 [01:47.03]逐句對照 [01:52.07]These technical deficiencies in Skidelsky's academic training [01:56.18]are the main defect, [02:03.41]not only in this book [02:05.12]but in the entire corpus of Skidelsky's writings [02:08.90]on Keynes going back over 30 years. [02:21.02]I will concentrate on Skidelsky's error [02:23.63]filled statements [02:28.65]concerning Keynes's [02:30.00]A Treatise on Probability(1921;TP) [02:35.08]and the logical theory of probability. On p.95. [02:48.19]多學一點 [02:50.51]concentrate on 集中于,全神貫注于 [02:56.38]concentrate upon [03:01.18]concentrate on my work [03:04.26]concentrate one's effort on sth. [03:10.67]We must concentrate our efforts on improving education. [03:19.23]concerning 關于 [03:21.77]This is a proposal concerning the construction [03:25.19]of the new airport. [03:32.87]concerned [03:35.91]They called on all departments concerned to take actions. [03:44.84]concerned 有關的 [03:54.11]people concerned [04:25.83]Skidelsky conflates the principle of indifference [04:28.95]with the principle of insufficient reason. [04:32.30]They are not the same. [04:34.04]Keynes's poi requires a balance or symmetry of the relevant, [04:38.69]available evidence or factors [04:41.48]involved before equiprobabilities are assigned. [04:46.32]Advocates of the principle of insufficient reason, [04:49.42]on the other hand, [04:50.71]argue that equiprobabilities can be applied in states [04:55.73]where no relevant evidence exists. [04:59.49]Keynes always rejected this kind of reasoning. [05:04.79]講解 [05:32.78]逐句對照 [05:37.88]Skidelsky conflates the principle of indifference [05:41.09]with the principle of insufficient reason. [05:49.97]They are not the same. [05:53.72]Keynes's poi requires a balance or symmetry of the relevant, [05:58.34]available evidence or factors [06:01.02]involved before equiprobabilities are assigned. [06:15.31]Advocates of the principle of insufficient reason, [06:18.32]on the other hand, argue that [06:24.88]equiprobabilities can be applied in states [06:28.02]where no relevant evidence exists. [06:35.70]Keynes always rejected this kind of reasoning. [06:44.20]多學一點 [06:46.26]on the other hand [06:51.60]on one hand...on the other hand... [06:57.42]On one hand, nature is our friend, [07:00.09]on the other hand, it will hurt us sometimes. [07:12.06]on the other hand 但是 [07:15.13]but [07:45.55]Skidelsky bases his assessment [07:48.02]of Keynes's logical theory of probability [07:50.94]on the error filled work of A. Carabelli and R.O'Donnell. [07:57.64]Carabelli and O'Donnell base their assessments [08:00.73]of the TP on four sources: [08:04.21]1) Keynes's introductory guide to the measurement [08:07.74]of probability in chapter III of the TP; [08:12.16]2) F. Ramsey's 1922 book review of the TP [08:17.45]in The Cambridge Magazine; [08:20.77]3) F.Ramsey's 1926 book review of the TP in his article, [08:27.20]"Truth and Probability", [08:29.49]published in 1931 in a book of articles; and [08:33.83]4) Keynes's 4 page eulogy [08:36.99]and very brief review of the book in 1931. [08:42.69]講解 [09:23.11]逐句對照 [09:27.83]Skidelsky bases his assessment [09:29.77]of Keynes's logical theory of probability [09:32.55]on the error filled work of A. Carabelli and R.O'Donnell. [09:47.68]Carabelli and O'Donnell base their assessments [09:50.72]of the TP on four sources: [09:58.90]1) Keynes's introductory guide to the measurement [10:02.39]of probability in chapter III of the TP; [10:11.98]2) F. Ramsey's 1922 book review of the TP [10:17.23]in The Cambridge Magazine; [10:26.53]3) F.Ramsey's 1926 book review of the TP in his article, [10:32.92]"Truth and Probability", [10:34.99]published in 1931 in a book of articles; [10:48.64]and 4) Keynes's 4 page eulogy [10:52.26]and very brief review of the book in 1931. [11:03.92]多學一點 [11:06.32]base...on [11:07.56]base 基礎,根據 [11:19.64]We should base love on mutual tolerance. [11:24.92]base / basis [11:30.50]base [11:34.22]the base of monument [11:38.25]basis [11:41.68]the basis of our cooperation [11:59.80]原音重現 [12:03.29]These technical deficiencies in Skidelsky's academic training [12:07.23]are the main defect, [12:09.67]not only in this book [12:11.45]but in the entire corpus of Skidelsky's writings [12:15.12]on Keynes going back over 30 years. [12:19.11]I will concentrate on Skidelsky's error [12:21.96]filled statements concerning Keynes's [12:24.47]A Treatise on Probability(1921;TP) [12:29.72]and the logical theory of probability. On p.95. [12:34.72]Skidelsky conflates the principle of indifference [12:37.89]with the principle of insufficient reason. [12:41.09]They are not the same. [12:42.95]Keynes's poi requires a balance or symmetry of the relevant, [12:47.59]available evidence or factors [12:50.05]involved before equiprobabilities are assigned. [12:54.89]Advocates of the principle of insufficient reason, [12:57.89]on the other hand, [12:59.10]argue that equiprobabilities can be applied in states [13:04.03]where no relevant evidence exists. [13:07.47]Keynes always rejected this kind of reasoning. [13:10.45]Skidelsky bases his assessment [13:13.24]of Keynes's logical theory of probability [13:16.07]on the error filled work of A. Carabelli and R.O'Donnell. [13:22.61]Carabelli and O'Donnell base their assessments [13:25.92]of the TP on four sources: [13:29.41]1) Keynes's introductory guide to the measurement [13:32.86]of probability in chapter III of the TP; [13:36.98]2) F. Ramsey's 1922 book review of the TP [13:42.33]in The Cambridge Magazine; [13:45.41]3) F.Ramsey's 1926 book review of the TP in his article, [13:51.98]"Truth and Probability", [13:53.93]published in 1931 in a book of articles; and [13:58.85]4) Keynes's 4 page eulogy [14:01.88]and very brief review of the book in 1931. [14:33.04]知行提示
John Maynard Keynes 02 凱恩斯傳 02 [好書-人文]
專業(yè)的學術訓練不足是斯基德爾斯基主要的缺點,不僅在這本書暴露出來,在他過去30年里寫的所有關于凱恩斯的文集里都有體現。我將把重點放在他充滿錯誤的一些陳述,包括《凱恩斯的概率論》(1921年,TP)和第95頁的概率邏輯理論。
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